All hell is breaking loose in the fight for control of the United States Senate.
Democrats are looking at some concerning developments.
Chuck Schumer was faced with one unthinkable decision that he never wanted to make.
Election forecasters rate the Democrats as holding a better than ever chance of wresting control of the United States Senate from Republicans.
But those projections are based on public polling data which may or may not be correct.
The tension between public polls and the on-the-ground developments is no more clear than in the key battleground of Michigan.
Democrat Gary Peters is a weak incumbent with low name recognition in the state and facing 39-year-old West Point graduate John James.
James challenged Democrat incumbent Debbie Stabenow in 2018 by just six points in a very Democratic year and when the polls showed a blowout.
The latest public poll from a Detroit TV station shows Peters clinging to a 45 to 40 lead over James.
But Peters’ position may be even more precarious than Democrats want to let on.
James’ campaign consultant Stu Sandler published a memo revealing that the Chuck Schumer-allies Senate Majority PAC will pump over five million dollars into Michigan for TV ads bolstering Peters’ candidacy.
“Chuck Schumer’s Senate Majority PAC will spend $5.4 million in one week — this is the most money they are spending on any Democrat in the entire nation,” Sandler wrote. “They are very nervous about John James, and they should be.”
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee pushed back on the idea that James was giving Peters a run for his money.
“John James is the handpicked candidate of Mitch McConnell, Betsy DeVos, and the out-of-state billionaires and corporate special interests who are trying to buy this Senate seat,” Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee Spokesman Stewart Boss declared. “Voters are going to reject James again next month because they know he’s tried to deceive them about his harmful agenda to repeal their health care and can’t be trusted to put Michigan families ahead of his party leaders and donors in Washington.”
But Sandler’s memo undercut those claims.
“James has kept pace with his opponent and continues to exceed nationwide trends,” Sandler wrote, and explained that their internal polling showed the race a statistical tie with Peters leading James 48 to 46.
After Alabama – where Republican Tommy Tuberville is heavily favored to defeat Democrat incumbent Doug Jones – Michigan represents the Republicans’ best chance to flip a Senate seat.
This current cycle features a map that heavily favors Democrats as Republicans are defending 23 seats and the Democrats just 11.
That means the Republicans have more exposure and fewer chances to pick up seats.
And if John James can defeat Gary Peters, it would make it all but impossible for the Democrats to win control of the Senate.
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