Nancy Pelosi and Democrats thought they could defy history in 2022.
But Democrats got some bad news.
And Nancy Pelosi saw the one poll result that told her she was about to be out of a job.
The president’s party historically suffers massive losses in the midterm election as the people revolt against the excesses of the ruling majority.
Democrats boasted that 2022 would be different because of the COVID pandemic.
Biden and his allies spun to their ideological fellow travelers in the press that a vaccine-generated economic boom would buoy the Democrats in what would normally be a difficult midterm political environment.
But as the summer wore on, Americans took stock of Biden’s failures on crime, stopping illegal immigration, controlling inflation, creating jobs and managing the withdrawal from Afghanistan.
That’s led to the Real Clear Politics polling average showing 50 percent of Americans now disapprove of Joe Biden’s job as president.
Warning signs about Joe Biden’s diminished political standing showed up in the key swing state of Michigan.
In 2006, 2010 and 2018, the party out of power won the Michigan gubernatorial election which served as a bellwether race that signaled massive losses for the president’s party.
Michigan Democrat Governor Gretchen Whitmer won handily in 2018 by ten points.
But as Joe Biden’s permanent pandemic policies of mask and vaccine mandates eroded his popularity, Whitmer – who oversaw some of the most draconian lockdowns in all of America – paid the price as well.
A brand-new Trafalgar Group poll showed former Detroit police chief and Republican frontrunner James Craig leading Whitmer by a six-point margin – 50 to 44 – in a hypothetical 2022 matchup.
Whitmer’s eroding political fortunes – as is typical of Michigan statewide races – served as a canary in the coal mine for her party.
Democrats planned to target just 21 House races in 2022, a nearly 50 percent decline from the 39 in 2020.
Even former RINO Congressman Tom Davis warned that Democrats entered the danger zone.
“Democrats are on defense, there’s no question about that,” Davis told Axios. “In 2002, we had a five-seat majority in the House, and I was campaign chairman. I didn’t get aggressive, I just wanted to take seats off the table. We ended up picking up eight seats. That ought to be their strategy.
“Biden was elected because people didn’t want Donald Trump in their living rooms for four more years,” Davis added. “But they didn’t vote for all this other stuff that’s coming with him, and they’re gonna react, they’re gonna pump the brakes.”
Elections don’t just happen in isolation.
Voting patterns tend to replicate themselves across geographic regions and among similar demographic groups.
If Gretchen Whitmer is set to have a bad night in Michigan it means Americans are likely to sweep Democrats out of power and end Nancy Pelosi’s tenure as speaker.
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