The election of Donald Trump was a nightmare for Democrats.
After months of laughing at the possibility of him winning, they were smacked in the face with reality.
And now the Democrats just got news that may be even worse than Trump’s election.
If you listen to any late-night comic, Republicans are in big trouble for the 2018 midterm elections.
But if you listen to the people on the ground, their chances are much different.
Generic ballot polling is thought to be the best predictor of the mood of the electorate during the midterm season.
And their latest polling is bad news for Democrats.
Their latest poll asks the question: “If the election were held today, would you vote for a Democrat or Republican for Congress?”
Recently, Democrats had a 15-point lead over Republicans, but the latest polling shows only a 2-point lead.
That means they have dropped 13 points in polling.
As reported by Fox News:
“The collapse of Democrats’ popularity on the much-ballyhooed generic ballot foreshadows tough midterm elections for them in November.
Until this week, pundits nearly everywhere favored Democrats to win – and for good reason. Historically, midterm election victories have been afforded to the party that does not control the White House. That’s a natural result of the checks and balances established by our Founding Fathers.
Generic ballot polling is generally thought to be the best predictor of the mood of the electorate during a midterm season. Such polls usually ask the question: “If the election were held today, would you vote for a Democrat or Republican for Congress?”
The latest responses are very troubling for Democrats.
New polling shows that Democrats have lost their recent 15-point lead over Republicans, dropping to only a two-point lead for a critical election they had hoped to paint as a referendum on President Trump and writ large, Republicans.
However, historically speaking, the news is more daunting for Democrats. Compared to where they stood in the 2014 midterm elections, Democrats are actually faring worse at this point than they were then.
In the 2014 midterms, Democrats were ahead on the generic ballot by an impressive eight points most of the year. However their lead eventually vanished, and Republicans ultimately trounced them at the ballot box, retook the U.S. Senate and won a big majority of seats in the House of Representatives.
By comparison, Democrats’ current poll numbers also rate worse than their generic ballot ranking in the 2010 midterms.”
These numbers are a major wake-up call for Democrats.
During the 2014 midterm elections, Democrats held an impressive eight-point lead, despite being crushed in the ballot box.
Republicans catching up to Democrats in the midterm polling is likely due to President Trump following through on many of his promises.
During his State of the Union Address, Trump won over many Republicans who felt disenfranchised.
Do you think Republicans will keep the House and Senate in the midterm elections?
Let us know your thoughts in the comments section below.
