The battleground states that will decide the 2020 election are quickly coming into focus.
Democrats and the President’s campaign are sizing up the polling data to determine their path to the 270 Electoral College votes.
Donald Trump couldn’t believe his eyes when he saw the polls in two key states.
Donald Trump won 304 Electoral College votes in 2016.
That means all he has to do is retain his current coalition and he will win re-election.
Democrats need to figure out which red states they can poach to reach the magic number of 270.
Right off the bat, Democrats saw two opportunities.
The first was in Wisconsin.
Democrats won Wisconsin in every election dating back to 1988.
Hillary Clinton and her campaign were so confident of victory in the Badger State that Clinton never once stepped foot in Wisconsin during the General Election campaign.
When Donald Trump smashed down the fabled “Blue Wall” on Election Night, Wisconsin was the first crack.
But even dating back to the 2016 GOP primary where Ted Cruz swamped Donald Trump, the typical Republican strongholds in the state retain a strong “Never Trump” presence.
The President’s approval rating is underwater by 13 points according to one recent Wisconsin poll and the 2018 midterms saw Democrat Tony Evers narrowly defeated two-term Republican incumbent Scott Walker.
These developments and instate dynamics led many strategists to consider Wisconsin the most likely state to flip blue in 2020.
However local Wisconsin Republicans say the Democrat primary – which has seen candidates race to the left on extremist positions on immigration, abortion, guns, and socialism – is driving wary Republicans back to President Trump.
“They don’t like the Twitter, they’re nervous about the tariffs but they’re scared witless about Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders or Pete Buttigieg,” GOP strategist Brian Fraley told Politico. “Nothing rallies a diverse group of people like a common opponent.”
Wisconsin is not the only red state the Democrats believe they can win.
Arizona hasn’t gone blue since Bill Clinton carried the state in 1996.
But Donald Trump only won Arizona by four points in 2016 and in 2018, voters elected a Democrat to the Senate.
And brand new polling data in Arizona suggests the state is within the Democrats’ grasp.
A Bendixen and Amandi International poll commissioned by the International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail, and Transportation Workers found Donald Trump’s approval rating upside with 45 percent approving and 53 percent disapproving.
In addition, the survey showed the President in a statistical tie with both former Vice President Joe Biden and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren.
Democrats believe the state’s fast-growing Hispanic population, as well as the influx of younger white liberals from states like California, will fulfill their “prophecy” of demographics equaling destiny.
But in Arizona, Republicans still outnumber Democrats by a four-point margin 35 to 31 percent.
Winning Arizona and Wisconsin would not be enough to put a Democrat in the White House.
It would put the Democrat nominee within spitting distance of 270 Electoral College votes, however.
Great American Daily will keep you up to date on any new developments in this ongoing story.