Former Vice President Joe Biden thought the stars were aligned for a 2020 victory.
But it appears Biden may have counted his chickens before they hatched.
That’s because Joe Biden got the shock of his life when he looked at one poll that was bad news.
Joe Biden has been the unquestioned frontrunner and leader in the Democrat polls since even before he entered the race.
Biden saw a major bounce after declaring his candidacy and then watched his poll numbers sag after a disastrous debate performance.
But since July, his poll numbers returned just below where they were before he entered the Democrat Presidential primary.
However, a brand new Monmouth University poll threatens to upend the status quo.
Their survey found Biden plummeting to third place with 19 percent of the vote, which is a 13 point drop from Monmouth’s previous survey.
This poll found Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders tied for first with 20 percent.
Monmouth’s is the second poll this month showing Biden losing altitude.
The Economist/YouGov released their latest poll showing Biden clinging to a 22 percent to 19 percent advantage over Warren.
There are two ways to look at polls.
One is to look at the aggregate of all the polls to see where the numbers line up on average.
Real Clear Politics does this with their compilation of polling data in the “Real Clear Politics Polling Average.”
The second way to look at polls is to track movement across individual pollsters.
If a pollster shows steady movement from candidates and away from another across their surveys that means there is a change in the race.
Both the Economist/YouGov and Monmouth University show a clear decline in Biden’s polling numbers from one of their surveys to the next.
To add to the polling data, there is a clear sign of momentum on the ground for Warren.
Warren drew 15,000 people to a recent rally in Seattle.
By contrast, Biden attracts sparse crowds during his infrequent campaign swings.
Biden’s drop in the polls coincides with the increasing concern over Biden’s frail physical appearance and obvious declining mental state.
During a recent trip to New Hampshire, Biden wrongly claimed he was in Vermont.
At another event, Biden falsely claimed Robert F. Kennedy and Martin Luther King, Jr. were killed in the late ‘70s when in fact they were assassinated in 1968.
Democrats’ number one issue on this primary is defeating Donald Trump.
But despite Biden’s establishment resume and name recognition, voters are starting to question if his frequent breaks from the campaign trail and his mental lapses prove Biden doesn’t possess the stuff to go the distance.
And Democrat voters are increasingly warming to the idea that Warren can defeat Donald Trump.
If she crosses that “electability” threshold the nomination very well could be hers.
Great American Daily will keep you up to date on any new developments in this ongoing story.