2020 was a disaster on many fronts for House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.
Democrats lost seats in the House and Pelosi is facing criticism from prominent members of her caucus.
Nancy Pelosi got hit with some bad news that could put her out of a job.
In the next Congress, Democrats will hold their party’s slimmest majority since World War 2 as Republicans gained at least 10 seats in the 2020 election.
Democrats could have as few as 222 seats in 2021 which comes into play when Congress gathers next January for an election for Speaker of the House.
Pelosi must win a majority of the chamber to keep the gavel and since these elections are party line affairs they are usually a fait accompli.
But in the last Congress, 15 Democrats voted “present” or voted for another candidate.
Ten of those 15 Democrats will return this Congress and if they vote the way they did in 2019 Pelosi could get booted off her perch of Speaker of the House.
Making matters more precarious for Pelosi is a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll showing the idea of Pelosi returning for another term as Speaker of the House is deeply unpopular with the American people.
POLITICO reports, “A new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll shows most Democrats think she should keep the gavel, but a majority of voters oppose Pelosi staying on as speaker. Only 31 percent of all voters think Pelosi should be elected as speaker when the new Congress begins, while 56 percent think she should not.”
Independents reject the idea of Pelosi continuing on as Speaker of the House.
POLITICO also reports:
Independents also lean strongly against her: Just 22 percent say she should remain speaker, while 59 percent say she should not.
The numbers track closely with her overall image rating. Fewer than four-in-10 voters, 37 percent, have a favorable opinion of Pelosi, while 52 percent view her unfavorably. Among independent voters, 27 percent view Pelosi favorably, and 58 percent have an unfavorable opinion of her.
This could come into play because the Democrats that did not support Pelosi for Speaker in 2019 come from swing districts where they need to win the support of independents.
Should Joe Biden be President in 2021 the political environment could swing against Democrats.
Democrats who know they are facing headwinds in 2022 could look to get on the good side of swing voters in their district by opposing Nancy Pelosi as Speaker of the House.
Ever since conservatives organized opposition to John Boehner in 2013, Speaker elections are no longer pro forma affairs.
And now Nancy Pelosi is on the wrong end of the drama.
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