The battle lines are being drawn for the November midterm elections.
Pundits have been increasing the odds of a blue wave and a Democrat take over.
But Rush Limbaugh revealed that Trump has this surprise plan in his back pocket that could destroy the Democrats in 2018.
Establishment Republicans and anti-Trump journalists were stunned when President Trump tweeted that he would be willing to risk a government shutdown in order to secure funding for his border wall.
I would be willing to “shut down” government if the Democrats do not give us the votes for Border Security, which includes the Wall! Must get rid of Lottery, Catch & Release etc. and finally go to system of Immigration based on MERIT! We need great people coming into our Country!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) July 29, 2018
The conventional wisdom in political and media circles is that the Republican Party will pay the price for a government shutdown.
This is fake news.
In 1996, the election immediately after the 1995 government shutdown – that the media claims re-elected Bill Clinton – the GOP gained two seats in the Senate.
And in 2014, after the media claimed the GOP committed political suicide after shutting down the government over defunding Obamacare the Republican Party gained nine Senate seats and seized control of the chamber.
That context is important in discussing why Trump would want to threaten a government shutdown.
Rush Limbaugh dissected his rationale on his show and pointed out the obvious – that elections are contests of base mobilization and nothing fires up the GOP base more than immigration.
“This is about immigration and it’s about border security. But it’s about more than that, because it is about maintaining this distinct American greatness, a distinct American culture and not allowing it to be diluted and watered down with the unending flow of millions of people who are not legally in the country. Not becoming citizens, not going through the proper channels. Believe me, this is going to turn people out in November. You’ve heard…
I don’t know whether it’s true, but you’ve heard that the momentum and the energy is all on the Democrat side. “The resistance is revved and they can’t wait! They can’t wait to get rid of Trump — and the first step of getting rid of Trump is gaining control of the House for the Democrats. They can’t wait to do it. I think there are probably some Republicans that believe that. So this is an effort, I think, on Trump’s part to ratchet up the energy, the turnout over the issue that got him elected.”
Because, folks, all Trump has right now is his base. That’s his line of defense. That’s his wall. The people that are gonna vote against Trump — i.e., vote against Republicans — are not gonna be bought off with a little policy offer here or a policy offer there.
I mean, this is for all the marbles. Trump needs everybody that voted for him for president showing up and voting Republican again. And he needs even more of that.
If Republicans want to hold on to the House and grow their Senate majority, they need their base’s enthusiasm to match that of the Democrats.
Immigration was the issue that powered Trump and the GOP to victory in 2018.
If the Republicans have any hope of maintaining control of Congress in November it stands to reason that making the election an all-out fight over building the wall and securing the border is the GOP’s best chance.
Do you agree?
Let us know your thoughts in the comments section.